Retirement income


How do I create retirement income that can last?

A map of income floors, withdrawal risk, longevity, and tools that can turn savings into spending confidence -- without pretending one product fits everyone.

NFI Retirement Academy instructor

Why income planning differs from accumulation

Working years reward growth of a balance. Retirement years ask a harder question: how do we turn assets into reliable spending without running out or living in fear of running out?

Accumulation mindset

"How large can the nest egg grow?" Markets, contributions, and time dominate.

Income mindset

"How much can we spend with confidence?" Longevity, sequence risk, and paycheck replacement dominate.

Income floors: Social Security, pensions, and the gap

Social Security (and any defined-benefit pension) creates a foundation of lifetime income. For many households, that floor does not cover desired lifestyle. The gap is where portfolio withdrawals -- and optionally contractual income tools -- enter the plan.

Income sources layered diagram

Two risks that shape lasting income

Sequence-of-returns risk

Withdrawing after early market losses can permanently damage a plan even if long-run averages look fine. See the lifetime income page.

Longevity risk

Living longer than the spreadsheet assumed. Couples should plan for a surviving spouse who may live many years after the first death.

Strategies for creating lasting income

  • Clarify essential vs. discretionary spending
  • Maximize the usefulness of Social Security claiming decisions (education, not a mandate)
  • Set a sustainable withdrawal approach for flexible assets
  • Consider whether a portion of assets should fund contractual income (annuity features / income annuities) after tradeoffs
  • Keep emergency and near-term liquidity outside long surrender schedules
  • Revisit the plan when health, markets, or family needs change

What research suggests about predictable income

NBER WP 35082

The Effect of Annuities on Longevity (Larrain, Previtero, Severino, 2026)

Recent NBER research (Working Paper 35082, 2026) using data from nearly 600,000 Chilean retirees examined whether choosing lifetime annuity income rather than phased withdrawals affected longevity and reported evidence of lower mortality among retirees induced into annuitization by the study’s research design. This is a working paper about Chile’s system — not proof that buying an annuity will make an individual U.S. retiree live longer. Full framing: lifetime income research section.

This does not mean "annuities make you live longer," and it is not a promise of any individual longevity gain. This is an NBER working paper (not yet peer-reviewed journal publication). Chile's pension system, annuity design, and institutions differ from the United States — results should not be assumed to apply automatically to U.S. retirees or U.S. products. The consumer insight for U.S. readers is broader than portfolio math: predictable lifetime income may relate to spending behavior, stress, and willingness to use assets in retirement — topics worth discussing with professionals, not slogans.

DOI: 10.3386/w35082 · NBER listing

Deeper framing: How lifetime income works -- research section.

Protected money vs. market-risk money

Many households assign different jobs to different dollars: some dollars help cover essentials with more predictable rules; other dollars seek growth and flexibility with full market upside and downside.

Protected money versus market-risk money
Educational concept only -- not a recommendation to move any specific dollar.

Couples and spending confidence

Joint planning includes survivor income, beneficiary designations, and who can make decisions if one partner becomes incapacitated. Spending confidence often rises when essentials are covered by predictable sources -- not only when the brokerage balance is large.

Potential benefits of a clear income plan

  • Less guesswork about monthly spending
  • Clearer role for each account (liquidity, growth, income)
  • Better conversations with a surviving spouse in mind

Tradeoffs

  • More contractual income can mean less liquidity and legacy flexibility
  • More portfolio dependence can mean more market and sequence risk
  • Inflation can erode fixed nominal income
  • Taxes on withdrawals and annuity distributions need professional coordination

Who may / may not need a deeper income redesign

May benefit from a focused plan

  • Approaching retirement within ~5-10 years
  • Unsure how much is safe to spend
  • Worried about a surviving spouse's income

May need less restructuring

  • Essentials already covered by SS/pension with ample reserves
  • Very short time horizon with high liquidity needs first

Questions to ask

  • What is our essential monthly number -- and what covers it today?
  • How much of our portfolio would we need to withdraw in a bad market year?
  • What happens to income if one of us dies first?
  • Which dollars should stay liquid vs. longer-term?

Sources and further reading

  1. Larrain, B., Previtero, A., & Severino, F. (2026). The Effect of Annuities on Longevity. NBER Working Paper 35082. https://doi.org/10.3386/w35082. Chile’s pension system differs from the U.S.; not proof an annuity extends an individual U.S. retiree’s life.
  2. Social Security Administration — Retirement benefits (program overview; not personalized advice): https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/
  3. SSA — Full retirement age: https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/ageincrease.html
  4. SSA — Starting benefits early (reduction before FRA): https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/agereduction.html
  5. SSA — Delayed retirement credits: https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/delayret.html
  6. SSA — Receiving benefits while working: https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/whileworking.html
  7. SSA — Quick Calculator (rough estimates; SSA notes limits): https://www.ssa.gov/oact/quickcalc/
  8. SSA — Survivor benefits (couples / survivor income education): https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/survivors/
  9. SSA benefit calculators: https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/calculators/
  10. Cross-link: How lifetime income works and Fixed indexed annuities.
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